Crypto Trade AI

Paper trading only. Not financial advice. Points can fall. $1 of paper profit = 1 point, and $1 of paper loss = -1 point.

Live points

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Opening the book...
Equity--
Cash--
Started--
Best points--
Buy & hold points--

Point curve

Loading daily prices...

Book · BTC ETH SOL DOGE ALGO

CoinPrice30dDecisionWeightHeldWhy

Fear & Greed

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Context only. It does not override the rule.

The rule

The model studies daily closes, not headlines. It goes long only when the last 30 days are up and price is above the 20-day average. Size is min(30%, 1% ÷ 20-day daily volatility), then scaled so the five weights never exceed 100% of the $1,000 paper book. Yesterday's close decides today's position, so the score cannot peek at the future. Each trade pays 0.10%.

Built from the results that keep surviving new samples: time-series momentum at a horizon of weeks (Liu & Tsyvinski, Review of Financial Studies, 2021; Moskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen, Journal of Financial Economics, 2012) and volatility scaling (Moreira & Muir, Journal of Finance, 2017). A 2024 design search found most other crypto factors do not hold up (Fieberg et al.). Hourly momentum tends to reverse, so this book does not scalp.